Archived Copies of Warranty Week

December 2002 to Today

Nine-Month New Home Warranty Report: Claims, accruals, and reserves continue to see a pattern of steady growth, despite many economists' predictions of an impending recession. Accruals per home sold continue to increase, though inflation and rising home prices mean that the accrual rate per dollar of revenue has decreased.
January 19, 2023
Worldwide Auto Warranty Expenses: Most auto manufacturers have filed their latest annual reports, so the totals are in for 2021: $45.9 B in claims paid, a 2.4% claims rate, $54.0 B in accruals made, a 2.8% accrual rate, $128.4 B in reserves held, and $653 in accruals made per vehicle sold. Claims and accrual totals changed little last year, but because sales rebounded in 2021, the expense rates fell.
October 6, 2022
Nineteenth Annual Product Warranty Report: While the erratic nature of accruals continued in 2021, claims totals remained stable. But warranty reserves hit a new record high late in the year, and expense rates briefly set a new low record early in the year. Manufacturer's warranty expenses are sorted into 18 industries and three major sectors: vehicles, electronics, and building trades.
March 24, 2022
Worldwide Auto Warranty Expenses: Last year, claims fell -10% to $43.9 billion while accruals rose +4% to $51.0 billion. And with some additional adjustments along the way, that drove worldwide warranty reserves up to a new record balance of $114.9 billion. And because sales fell so fast, the average claims rate rose to 2.8% last year, while the average accrual rate jumped to 3.3%.
September 2, 2021
Warranty Expenses vs. Product Sales & Net Income: We're adding a new metric into the mix: net income. When manufacturers boost warranty accruals, net income suffers. And when warranty expenses drop, net income rises. But is there really a correlation between net income and warranty accruals? Or perhaps warranty reserves and net income?
April 8, 2021
Worldwide Auto Warranty Expenses: Now that most of the world's automakers publish their warranty expenses in their annual reports, it is possible to tally a global total for the industry. In 2019, claims were up but accruals and reserves were down, as were the number of vehicles sold and the product revenue they brought in worldwide.
September 10, 2020
Asian Auto Warranty Expenses: While the Japanese and Indian car manufacturers had plenty of time to react to the global pandemic in their most recent fiscal years (which ended in March), the Korean and Chinese companies also seem to have seen it coming. Warranty accruals are down along with sales, and so are reserves, while claims are up. But the Chinese warranty metrics remain baffling.
September 3, 2020
European Auto Warranty Expenses: Among the seven largest auto manufacturers, VW spends the largest percentage of revenue on warranty. Daimler spends the most per vehicle, and had the biggest jump in warranty reserves. And both PSA and Renault continue to have the lowest warranty expense rates in Europe.
August 27, 2020
Semiconductor Warranty Report: After a sudden jump in claims in 2018, warranty expense rates took a jump early last year. But by year's end, both the amount of money going towards warranty costs as well as the percent of sales it represented were back down to normal ranges. But warranty reserves haven't been this low since 2009.
May 21, 2020
Telecom Equipment Warranty Report: Warranty claims, accruals and reserves rose a bit from record low levels in 2018, but the long-term decline in the telecom network hardware industry continues unabated. Several mergers contributed to the recent increases, while some of the largest industry players continue to increase reliability, cut costs, and drive down their warranty expense rates.
May 14, 2020
Computer Warranty Report: Warranty accruals and reserves rose for the first time in years, but the long-term decline in the computer hardware industry continues nevertheless. Apple and HP see only minor changes in their warranty metrics. But some of the top disk drive makers are seeing expenses rise significantly.
April 30, 2020
Seventeenth Annual Product Warranty Report: For a variety of reasons, claims and accruals continue to grow in the vehicle sector and shrink in the electronics sector. But sales have grown faster, so the overall share of manufacturing revenue going towards warranty expenses remains below 1.5%. Warranty reserves, meanwhile, came close to setting a new high water mark late in 2019, after years of declines.
April 16, 2020
Auto Parts Supplier Warranty Report: Slowly but surely, the companies that manufacture powertrain components such as engines and transmissions have seen their share of the warranty expenses rise, while the other parts suppliers have seen their share slowly shrink. And both claims and reserves are at record levels.
March 26, 2020
Warranty Claims & Reserves, Part 3: While some of the sub-groups within the buildings category are dominated by companies such as Whirlpool, Carrier, and GE, others contain dozens of similarly-sized manufacturers. And while some of their warranty metrics are all over the chart, others are clumped into relatively tight clusters, like a marksman who never misses his target.
February 20, 2020
Warranty Claims & Reserves, Part 2: The electronics sector tends to have shorter warranties than other sectors such as vehicles. Yet their warranty costs have ranged all the way up to four percent of sales. And while the average size of their warranty reserves is on the small side, some industry segments keep very large balances.
February 13, 2020
Warranty Claims & Reserves, Part 1: Using three metrics: claims, reserves, and sales, we can calculate which industries and even which individual companies are over or under the averages for both their spending on claims and the capacity of their reserve funds. And by charting the results, we can see which companies, industries or manufacturing sectors have the most consistent warranty expenses.
February 6, 2020
Product Warranty Sectors: By dividing all warranty-issuing companies into three groups -- vehicles, buildings, and electronics -- we can look at trends over time in terms of claims, accruals, reserves, and the percentage of sales revenue spent on warranty expenses. And we can also see that those expense rates have recently taken an upturn for some of them after years of declines.
January 23, 2020
Auto Supplier Warranty Report: The data for the first half of 2019 is not looking so good for the suppliers of automotive parts and systems. Claims hit a new record high and so did warranty reserves. The silver lining in this cloud, however, is that rising sales have reduced the pain and have kept expense rates close to their historical averages.
September 12, 2019
Worldwide Automotive Warranty Expenses: With reliable warranty expense data in hand from 24 of the world's largest carmakers, we have calculated some worldwide metrics: $46 billion in claims, $50 billion in accruals, $115 billion in reserves, 2.14% average claims rate, 2.53% average accrual rate, and $543 in accruals per unit sold.
August 22, 2019
Homebuilder Warranty Report: All the metrics were up in 2018, and the growth continued into the first quarter of 2019. Claims and accruals are back to pre-recession levels, and warranty reserves hit a new record high. Meanwhile, the level of warranty expenses per new home sold show some curious and sudden spikes for some builders and long-term stability for others.
June 13, 2019
Appliance & HVAC Warranty Report: The HVAC manufacturers have lower warranty expense rates but keep vastly more funds on hand in their warranty reserves. And while the HVAC system makers have seen a recent upturn in their warranty expenses, the appliance makers have seen their lowest expense rates in more than a decade.
May 30, 2019
Telecom Industry Warranty Report: While many of the top equipment manufacturers continue to lose business to, or get acquired by foreign firms, there are still several hundred U.S.-based telecom companies paying claims and maintaining warranty reserves. But there's no denying that the business isn't what it used to be a decade ago.
May 16, 2019
Semiconductor Warranty Report: Companies that make the tools and equipment used to manufacture semiconductors and printed circuit boards spend more on claims, set aside more accruals, and shell out a larger chunk of their revenue on warranty expenses than do their customers who make the actual devices. But the companies that make the devices keep more warranty reserves on hand than do the companies that supply them with tools and equipment.
May 9, 2019
Solar Equipment Warranty Expense Rates: It's a bit of an actuarial nightmare. Relatively young companies in new and unproven industries issue very long warranties for which multiple years or even decades can pass before claims arise in volume. But eventually, products mature and claims exceed accruals, and reserves begin to deplete. Then the actuaries break the bad news: it's time to raise rates.
August 30, 2018
HVAC & Appliance Warranty Report: The appliance makers have higher warranty expense rates but the HVAC makers spend more. They also maintain warranty reserves that are much larger than the appliance companies, because the warranties on their products have longer durations.
June 21, 2018
Automotive Supplier Warranty Report: Of all the companies that supply parts and components to the car and truck manufacturers, those making engines, axles and transmissions pay the most claims and see the highest warranty expense rates. Last year, in fact, they broke records for claims paid, accruals made, and reserves held.
April 12, 2018
Appliance & HVAC Warranty Report: HVAC manufacturers have lower warranty costs but are more cautious than other kinds of appliance makers, keeping a much higher ratio between claims and reserves. But neither group has done much to reduce their warranty expenses, though some companies have cut their costs by hundreds of millions of dollars.
May 19, 2016
Telecom Equipment Warranty Report: Is most of the warranty cost reduction now behind them? Several parts of the industry, such as the Internet and data communications equipment makers, have seen their expense rates climb a bit in recent years. Others are letting their reserves run low, or cutting their accrual rates even as their claims payments increase.
May 5, 2016
Top Warranty Acquisitions: Every once in a while, a manufacturer or retailer is acquired and ceases reporting its warranty expenses, while the acquiring company reports the amount of warranty reserves it gained through the purchase. What follows are some of the largest transactions of and by U.S.-based warranty providers in the past 18 months.
November 12, 2015
Warranty Reserves & Foreign Exchange: The rising value of the U.S. dollar is impacting revenue, profits, and even warranty expenses. For U.S. companies, it's hurting exports. And for international companies in the U.S., it's helping to reduce the cost of imports and to increase the value of warranty reserves.
October 22, 2015
Appliance & HVAC Warranty Report: While we group them together, they're actually very different. Appliance makers pay higher warranty expense rates but for shorter durations. HVAC makers keep larger reserves on hand but they have to, given their longer-lasting warranties.
April 10, 2014
Top 100 Warranty Providers of 2012: While most of the largest manufacturers continued to reduce their warranty costs last year, some saw dramatic increases. Here are the top up and down percentage changes of the year for three warranty metrics: claims, accruals, and reserves.
March 14, 2013
Top 100 Warranty Providers of 2011: While most of the largest manufacturers continued to reduce their warranty costs last year, some saw dramatic rises. Here are the top percentage increases and decreases of the year for claims, accruals, and reserves.
March 15, 2012
New Home & RV Warranties: When sales were falling, builders cut their warranty accruals. But, worried by claims payments that didn't fall as fast, they didn't cut accruals enough. So now some have built up excess levels of warranty reserves that may be in the multiple millions of dollars for at least 10 homebuilders.
January 5, 2012
Warranty Reserve Capacity: The ratio between warranty reserves and claims payments is always changing. But by measuring departures from the baseline average, we can detect which companies have either too much or too little money in their warranty accounts.
November 17, 2011
Warranty Adjustments, Part 2: In the past few years, a small group of companies has made repeated and relatively large upwards adjustments to their warranty reserves. Are they simply bad at predicting the future? Or have they found a way to make their warranty costs look lower than they really are?
November 3, 2011
Warranty Acquisitions: Big companies are buying smaller companies all the time. But then they have to merge their product lines, combine their warranty reserves, and publish all the details. Divestitures, meanwhile, also happen once in a while, but not as often as entire companies are sold as a single unit.
October 20, 2011
New Home Warranty Report: New home sales continue to fall and so do warranty costs. As homebuilders wonder if this is the bottom of the economic cycle, we wonder whether they may be keeping more warranty reserves on hand than they need.
September 8, 2011
Warranty Reserves vs. Accruals, Part Two: A handful of computer, electronics and data networking companies have gotten very good at controlling their warranty funds, both in terms of how much they set aside and how much they keep on hand. Others just take their best guess and hope it all turns out well.
June 23, 2011
Warranty Reserves vs. Accruals, Part One: With 32 quarters of data, it's becoming easier to see which companies carefully calibrate their warranty budgets and which make it up as they go along. Here are the "scores" for the top three in each of six industries.
June 16, 2011
Aerospace Warranty Report: While the airframe makers and their suppliers pay out roughly the same percentage of product revenue for warranty claims, they keep very different levels of reserves. The airframe makers keep a balance equal to four years of claims, while their suppliers keep half as much in their warranty reserve funds.
April 14, 2011
Top 100 Warranty Providers of 2010: The biggest warranty providers also seem to be the most stable. Those that saw the greatest annual changes in warranty claims, accruals or reserves tended to be a bit smaller, whether the changes were up or down.
March 18, 2011
New Home Builders & RV Makers: Even among the survivors of the Great Recession, warranty costs are now rising to alarming levels. And for some builders, home sales are still falling year-over-year. The result is a state of affairs where warranty work is financed from a shrinking pool of reserves.
October 14, 2010
Annual Warranty Totals & Averages: While claims were up slightly in 2008, both warranty reserves and accruals actually plunged last year. And as sales fall, the percentage of product revenue spent on claims has risen. With no less than 21 charts, we detail the industry totals and averages for the past six years.
May 7, 2009
Warranty Trends in 2008: With the filing of the last few financial reports of this cycle, it's time to look at warranty costs by industry. The big story in 2008 is how falling sales have made warranty claims less affordable for some companies. Warranty reserves peaked at the end of 2007, but claims are still rising. And for hard-hit sectors such as autos and homebuilding, the worst may still be ahead.
December 18, 2008
Security Equipment Warranties: Although big ticket military contracts don't usually include what we'd call product warranties, the maker so numerous other products that help protect people and property do pay claims and maintain warranty reserves. What follows are snapshots of the past six years of warranty expenditures for four of the market leaders in their respective corners of the security marketplace.
December 5, 2008
Telecom Equipment Warranties: Claims are up slightly and accruals are down slightly, as are total warranty reserves. But within the telecom sector are a handful of companies that have seen warranty costs fall significantly in the past five years.
October 9, 2008
Top 100 Warranty Providers: Compared to a year ago, much has changed in terms of warranty claims, accruals, and reserves. Key ratios suggest that some companies are enjoying vastly reduced repair costs thanks to quality gains. However, for the largest manufacturers, the percentage of sales they spend on warranty hasn't changed much.
September 5, 2008
Five-Year Warranty Trends, Part Five: American manufacturers now keep $41.1 billion in their warranty reserves, equal to 17 months' worth of claims paid. And it's been more or less steady at that capacity level for the past five years. Meanwhile, average accrual rates have stayed close to 1.7%, although different industries accrue for warranty at different rates.
April 29, 2008
Warranty Reserves by Industry: Longer warranties usually mean larger reserves. And in industries where warranties are getting longer, the ratio between claims and reserves is growing. But in some sectors, the need for earnings may be forcing companies to live with more risk and smaller reserves.
June 12, 2007
Warranty Reserve Levels: Most large companies seem to pick a size and stick to it, even as sales and claims vary. Whether measured in dollars or as a multiple of claims paid per month, the size of most of the largest warranty reserves has changed very slowly over the past four years.
January 30, 2007
Warranty Financial Management: Part 2: Optimizing Warranty Reserves. Rightsizing a $100 billion dollar worldwide warranty reserve by turning lazy capital into working capital.
January 23, 2007
Warranty Marksmanship: Companies that accurately predict warranty claims and maintain adequate warranty reserves are at the top of their game. And now it's possible to compare their aim by looking at a chart that compares reserves to accruals.
May 16, 2006
Warranty Reserves: Over time, both companies and industries make consistent choices regarding how much revenue to put aside to fund future warranty claims, reflecting the outlook of their forecasters.
May 9, 2006
Warranty Reserves: How much is enough? Given a company's industry and the nature of its product warranties, how much should be kept in the warranty reserve fund? The funding decisions of 700 CFOs provide some insights.
May 17, 2005
Warranty Measures: Matching warranty claims and accruals to reserves has always been a balancing act. Now it must be done in public, making it harder to conceal raids on the reserve fund or spikes in claims. But it's also easier to see how a company's quality improvements and claims reductions can translate to bottom-line gains by reducing the need for reserves.
May 25, 2004
Warranty Reserves: While the average manufacturer spends 1.9% of product revenue on warranty claims and keeps a little over a year's worth of funds in reserve, each industry is different. Computer manufacturers and automakers fund their warranty programs at different levels than telecom or aerospace manufacturers. But in any group, as with any trend, there's always the odd man out.
April 6, 2004
Ford's Warranty Reserves: Standard & Poor's cut Ford Motor Company's credit rating from BBB to BBB-, citing write-offs at Ford Europe, reduced warranty accruals, and lowered reserves for bad loans by Ford Credit. But were those reduced warranty accruals justified by reduced claims costs?
November 17, 2003
Letter to the Editor: Reader raises an issue with the data for warranty reserves, claims, and accrual statistics published over the past five weeks, suggesting the use of just printer hardware revenue to compute a claims rate paints a misleading picture.
October 13, 2003
The Warranty Reserve Fund: Given the availability of six months of data detailing changes in the warranty reserves of more than 600 U.S. manufacturers, what trends are becoming visible so far?
October 6, 2003
GM's Warranty Reserves:  Both GM and Ford made sizeable withdrawals from their reserve funds during the second quarter. GM cited increased product quality. But analysts said the move lowered earnings quality. Ford said nothing, and nothing was said. What's behind the changes of estimate?
August 18, 2003