Archived Copies of Warranty Week

December 2002 to Today

Nine-Month New Home Warranty Report: Claims, accruals, and reserves continue to see a pattern of steady growth, despite many economists' predictions of an impending recession. Accruals per home sold continue to increase, though inflation and rising home prices mean that the accrual rate per dollar of revenue has decreased.
January 19, 2023
Worldwide Auto Warranty Expenses: Most auto manufacturers have filed their latest annual reports, so the totals are in for 2021: $45.9 B in claims paid, a 2.4% claims rate, $54.0 B in accruals made, a 2.8% accrual rate, $128.4 B in reserves held, and $653 in accruals made per vehicle sold. Claims and accrual totals changed little last year, but because sales rebounded in 2021, the expense rates fell.
October 6, 2022
Worldwide Heavy Equipment Warranty Report: Claims were up a bit last year but warranty accruals fell significantly, as did product revenue. As a result, the industry's claims rate was also up a bit while the average accrual rate fell. And the combined warranty reserve fund balances of the 52 companies we're tracking in this category grew five percent to a record $9.81 billion.
September 9, 2021
Worldwide Auto Warranty Expenses: Last year, claims fell -10% to $43.9 billion while accruals rose +4% to $51.0 billion. And with some additional adjustments along the way, that drove worldwide warranty reserves up to a new record balance of $114.9 billion. And because sales fell so fast, the average claims rate rose to 2.8% last year, while the average accrual rate jumped to 3.3%.
September 2, 2021
Top Asian Automaker Warranty Expenses: While the top carmaker in India seems to be getting its warranty expenses under control, recall-driven warranty costs have spiraled out of control for the top two Korean carmakers. Hyundai's accrual rate more than doubled to nearly 6.5% last year, while Kia approached 5%.
August 12, 2021
Top 100 Warranty Providers of Mid-2020: As we detailed in last week's newsletter, sales are falling faster than warranty expenses, so the average claims and accrual rates are rising. But that's just the average. Some companies are actually seeing sales increases, and for others so are their warranty costs. This week, we rank those changes, and spotlight the ten biggest percentage increases and decreases.
October 8, 2020
US Auto Warranty Expenses: During the Great Recession, vehicle sales fell faster than accruals but slower than claims, so claims rates slowly rose while accrual rates slowly fell. During this pandemic, however, claims rates jumped quickly, while accrual rates are holding steady. But sales are plunging just like they did 12 years ago.
September 24, 2020
Top 100 Warranty Providers of 2019: Though the very largest manufacturers and warranty providers rarely report massive changes in their warranty metrics from one year to the next, at least a few of the mid-sized companies always seem to report cutting their claims and accrual expenses in half. And 2019 is no exception, with major warranty cost reductions reported by several manufacturers.
April 9, 2020
Worldwide Automotive Warranty Expenses: With reliable warranty expense data in hand from 24 of the world's largest carmakers, we have calculated some worldwide metrics: $46 billion in claims, $50 billion in accruals, $115 billion in reserves, 2.14% average claims rate, 2.53% average accrual rate, and $543 in accruals per unit sold.
August 22, 2019
American Auto Warranty Expenses: While General Motors continues to recover from its massive ignition switch recall of 2014, the warranty expenses of Ford are creeping upward. Tesla, meanwhile, is in the strange position of having the lowest claims rate and the highest accrual rate in the U.S.-based portion of this industry.
July 18, 2019
Automotive OEM Warranty Report: Depending on the metric you look at, the makers of cars, trucks and other vehicles account for between 40% and 45% of the warranty expenses of all U.S.-based manufacturers. But despite their size, their claims and accrual costs have been relatively stable for the past few years.
April 4, 2019
Worldwide Construction Equipment Warranties: Sales took a big jump in 2017, and so did warranty expenses. But the increases were more or less proportional, which means the warranty expense rates remained about the same. However, the industry's claims and accrual totals are still a bit below their pre-recession peak levels.
November 8, 2018
Warranty Accruals per Vehicle Sold: Once again, Tesla comes out with the most expensive warranty while Hyundai is the least costly. But the warranty cost rankings of the passenger car and light truck manufacturers in between have shifted somewhat, with the Asian carmakers seeing their accrual rates per vehicle rise and the North American manufacturers seeing their warranty costs drop.
July 19, 2018
Homebuilding Warranty Report: Warranty expenses are rising but so are new home prices, keeping the average amount of money accrued industry-wide after each closing relatively steady, and allowing the accrual rate as a percentage of revenue to actually decline a bit. But many homebuilders continue to raise and reduce their warranty accruals rather impulsively, and sometimes skip them altogether.
June 28, 2018
Warranty Claims & Accrual Rates: Among the seven largest warranty-providing industries, only a few have a consistent history of reducing warranty expense rates. Instead, most have seen their claims and accrual rates both rise and fall over the past 15 years, and a few have even seen sustained increases in their warranty costs.
March 29, 2018
Worldwide Aircraft Warranty Report: With warranty expenses that exceed a billion dollars annually, the manufacturers of airliners, business jets, and propeller planes are a major sector within the warranty industry. And over the past decade, they have learned how to reduce warranty costs while increasing revenue, as demonstrated by their declining claims and accrual rates.
July 20, 2017
Automotive Warranty Expense Report: While the individual manufacturers see their claims, accrual, and sales totals change up and down from year to year, some long-term trends are also evident. The carmakers are cutting costs the most and the longest, while the powertrain manufacturers are falling behind other types of suppliers.
March 30, 2017
Warranty & Corporate Inversions: Although warranty has an effect on taxes, the movement of a company's headquarters from a high-tax to a low-tax country doesn't seem to change its warranty claims or accrual rates. The merger of product lines has a much bigger effect, no matter what their nationality. But in at least one case, a company leaving the U.S. decided to cease complying with warranty reporting rules.
August 4, 2016
Telecom Equipment Warranty Report: Is most of the warranty cost reduction now behind them? Several parts of the industry, such as the Internet and data communications equipment makers, have seen their expense rates climb a bit in recent years. Others are letting their reserves run low, or cutting their accrual rates even as their claims payments increase.
May 5, 2016
Computer Industry Warranty Report: Though their warranties are usually shorter than those on cars and trucks, their expense rates are almost as high, as a percent of revenue. And despite their higher-than-average claims and accrual rates, many computer, disk drive, and printer manufacturers prefer to keep their warranty reserve cushions as slender as possible.
April 21, 2016
Top 100 Warranty Providers of 2015: Most of the major warranty providers have published their annual reports in the past few weeks. By comparing their most recent warranty claims, accrual, and reserve metrics against the same expense figures from a year ago, we can make a series of top 10 lists of the most improved and the most injured warranty providers.
March 17, 2016
Warranty Accruals for New Homes: When a new home is sold, the builder sets aside a specific amount of money in the form of warranty accruals to cover its predicted warranty costs. Some builders do a consistently good job, accruing roughly the same amount per home sold from one season to the next. But others raise and lower their accrual rates over incredible ranges that seem to have little to do with predicted warranty costs.
August 13, 2015
Farm & Lawn Equipment Warranties: Six months after the peak in sales comes the annual peak in warranty expenses. And while some companies take a pay-as-you-go approach, others have mastered the annual cycle to such an extent that their accrual rates hardly budge from one season to the next.
June 20, 2013
Warranty Marksmen, Part 2: In high-tech industries, a few dozen companies have apparently learned how to expertly tune their warranty accrual rates and reserve fund balances, so that there's always enough money set aside to pay claims. Here are the top 20.
December 6, 2012
Most Improved Warranty Metrics, Part 2: Warranty expense rates have been on a downward trend for most of the past decade. And most of the manufacturers are reducing their claims and accrual rates year after year. Some, however, continue to cut costs faster than their peers.
October 25, 2012
New Home Warranties: The new home industry is like the car industry without a bailout: stuck at the bottom with no improvement. Warranty expenses continue to contract, but so does sales revenue. And some companies seem to be artificially managing their accrual levels.
May 10, 2012
Top 100 Warranty Providers: While most manufacturers keep cutting their warranty costs, some report massive spikes in their claims and accrual rates for the year ended in September. Others continue to recover from past spikes, with some of the largest declines of the year.
December 29, 2011
Computer Warranty Report: The bigger the box, the smaller the warranty expense. And when phones get smart, and when computers get small enough to fit into pockets, warranty costs seem to grow proportionally. That's what the industry's warranty claims and accrual data, gathered over the past 8-½ years, seems to suggest.
September 29, 2011
New Home Warranty Report: Though sales keep falling, claims are rising after several years of declines, and the accrual rates are holding steady. So is the worst over? Or are there homebuilders out there with bigger problems ahead of them?
May 19, 2011
Automotive Warranty Report: After spiking to worrying levels in 2009, automotive warranty claims rates returned to normal in 2010, while the OEMs' accrual rates have never been lower. Their parts suppliers, however, continue to see their warranty costs escalate as the OEMs insist they share a bigger slice of the burden.
April 7, 2011
Computer Warranty
Claims & Accruals: No news is good news as the computer industry's top warranty providers turn in predictable warranty expense reports. Despite economic turmoil, new product launches and multiple recent acquisitions, claims and accrual rates just aren't changing much.
September 16, 2010
Warranty Claims & Accruals
by Industry: There's been a massive divergence between claims and accrual rates, and it can't all be blamed on the recession. It looks more like some companies are managing earnings by reducing their accrual rates to make their numbers. As claims rates soar, accruals fall.
April 15, 2010
Top 100 Warranty Providers of 2009: By comparing companies to themselves over time, we're able to identify those with the biggest changes in claims and accrual rates. And while change is good, too much change may not be. Appearances on multiple top 10 lists can imply instability or an unfamiliarity with the warranty process.
April 1, 2010
Automotive Warranties: With GM now government-owned and several mobile home makers trapped in bankruptcy, industry-wide warranty statistics are losing their meaning. And thanks to the distortions caused by massive sales declines this year, claims rates have also lost much of their relevance during this recession. But among at least the well-run warranty providers, accrual rates have remained proportional to sales rates and quality levels.
September 10, 2009
Auto Part Supplier Warranties: Claims are up a bit but sales are down a lot. And while most suppliers have reduced accruals proportionally, at least one seems to have taken an accrual holiday.
June 25, 2009
Computer Warranty Trends: While other industries are seeing claim rates rise and accrual rates fall, warranty providers in the computer industry are seeing claims rise slightly and accruals rise a lot. And it's not so easy to blame those changes on sales declines, or to link them with quality increases.
March 26, 2009
Top 100 Warranty Providers of 2008: Of all the companies spending the most on warranty, none of the largest reported massive percentage changes in 2008, which confirms the stability of their warranty programs. But there were plenty of big changes in claims and accrual rates further down the list, some for the better and some for the worse.
March 13, 2009
Warranty Cost Cutting: Among the top 100 warranty providers, more than half have reduced the percentage of sales they allocate to warranty costs in the past year. Some have cut their accrual rates by a third, a half, or even more. And many have also seen their claims rates fall, suggesting not only cost cutting but also quality improvements.
November 20, 2008
Five-Year Warranty Trends, Part Five: American manufacturers now keep $41.1 billion in their warranty reserves, equal to 17 months' worth of claims paid. And it's been more or less steady at that capacity level for the past five years. Meanwhile, average accrual rates have stayed close to 1.7%, although different industries accrue for warranty at different rates.
April 29, 2008
Warranty Benchmarks: Graphs of all manufacturers' claims and accrual rates don't follow bell curves. They're Pareto distributions, where lots of companies spend small amounts on warranty and a few heavyweights spend a lot.
October 24, 2007
Computer Warranties: Though warranty costs increased only slightly for PC makers as a group in 2006, a few companies saw radical changes in their claims and accrual rates. And Dell's still missing, with no new warranty data in almost a year.
May 8, 2007
Warranty Claims & Accrual Rates: Half the industry segments follow seasonal patterns, with claims and accrual rates peaking during the same quarter every year. Four segments are following downward trends while two are on upward slopes. But what's most surprising is how small the fluctuations have been over the past 15 quarters.
January 17, 2007
Auto Warranties: It's not just Ford and GM. There are numerous other types of vehicles, and numerous automotive suppliers to those OEMs who each have their own characteristics when it comes to warranty claims and accrual rates.
September 8, 2004
The Warranty Reserve: Manufacturers apparently allowed their reserve fund balances to shrink by some $2 billion during the third quarter, not only because of a 4% rise in claims but also because of numerous downwards changes of estimate and cuts in accrual rates.
December 22, 2003
Warranty Claims & Accruals: In some industries, warranty claims and accrual rates move together in parallel. In others, they each seem to have a mind of their own. This week we take a look at nine months of warranty claims totals and the percentages of sales they represent in nine different industries.
December 15, 2003
Letter to the Editor: Reader raises an issue with the data for warranty reserves, claims, and accrual statistics published over the past five weeks, suggesting the use of just printer hardware revenue to compute a claims rate paints a misleading picture.
October 13, 2003
Warranty in the Air, Sea, and Ground: Compliance with FASB FIN 45 rules concerning product warranty disclosures has spread tremendously in just the first two quarters of 2003, making it possible to find ranges and averages for warranty accrual and claims rates in numerous market segments. In addition to the automotive and IT industry sectors detailed in the past two issues, here are charts for six more market segments.
September 29, 2003